Millwall vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LEI
4 - 2
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
IPS
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 4
BIR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CRY
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
DON
0 - 2
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWA
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WHU
2 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
COV
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |