Millwall vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1929 |
GRI
3 - 0
MIL
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1929 |
HUL
4 - 0
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
MIL
1 - 3
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
SWA
2 - 0
MIL
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1929 |
WBA
3 - 2
MIL
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1929 |
BAR
4 - 1
PNE
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
REA
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
BAR
4 - 2
TOT
47%
22%
31%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
HUL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
STO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |