Millwall vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 2
MIL
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
ARS
0 - 0
MIL
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 0
COV
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
2 - 0
MID
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 2
ARS
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
28%
28%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1989 |
TOT
2 - 0
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1989 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
WIM
1 - 0
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |