Millwall vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
CHL
4 - 0
MIL
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
LUT
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1989 |
TRA
3 - 2
MIL
29%
23%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
CRY
4 - 3
MIL
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
EVE
2 - 1
MIL
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
ARS
4 - 3
NOR
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
EVE
3 - 0
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1989 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
35%
27%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |