Millonarios FC vs CD Nueva Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+317%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
SSC
15%
18%
68%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CNS
1 - 2
MFC
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SSC
2 - 1
MFC
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
PET
17%
22%
61%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | -1 |
Matches
CD Nueva Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NSC
1 - 0
PET
18%
23%
59%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
NSC
73%
17%
10%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NSC
5 - 0
SSC
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |