Millonarios vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1962 |
EME
4 - 2
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
OLI
5 - 1
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
MIL
0 - 0
OLI
62%
19%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
MIL
1 - 0
UCH
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
3 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |