Millonarios vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
VAL
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIL
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 31 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
POR
2 - 0
MIL
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1974 |
SAO
0 - 1
SCI
55%
26%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1974 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATP
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
GOI
1 - 1
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
FLU
0 - 1
SAO
32%
32%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |