Millonarios vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
0 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 5
MIL
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
SFE
1 - 2
PAS
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
SFE
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
0 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
5 - 0
SFE
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
3 - 0
JAG
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |