Clausura Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Millonarios vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 1
EQU
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MIL
5 - 1
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
45%
29%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
SFE
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
4 - 1
JAG
46%
29%
25%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 0
SFE
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
SFE
26%
28%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |