Millonarios vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1974 |
SAO
4 - 0
MIL
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1974 |
DEF
1 - 4
MIL
24%
21%
55%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
1 - 0
DEF
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
0 - 0
SAO
31%
28%
40%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
VAL
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1972 |
CEN
2 - 0
SFE
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
SFE
72%
17%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1972 |
SFE
2 - 4
IND
37%
25%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1972 |
SFE
0 - 0
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |