Millonarios vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1973 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
CAL
0 - 0
MIL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1973 |
MIL
6 - 2
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
CAL
1 - 0
MIL
68%
17%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
EST
0 - 0
MIL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
SLO
2 - 1
GLP
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1973 |
FER
1 - 3
SLO
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1973 |
RIV
0 - 4
SLO
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1973 |
SLO
3 - 0
JWI
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |