Millonarios vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MIL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
4 - 2
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IND
3 - 3
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
20%
25%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
RSC
72%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |