Millonarios vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 3
AGU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
COR
1 - 2
MIL
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
CUC
0 - 1
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 4
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
JUN
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |