Millonarios vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIL
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
POR
2 - 0
MIL
41%
22%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 3
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
IND
2 - 0
MIL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
VAL
0 - 1
POR
24%
21%
55%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
POR
2 - 0
MIL
41%
22%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |