Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-3
Millonarios vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 2
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
MIL
1 - 2
PEÑ
60%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
CAL
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
MIL
1 - 2
PEÑ
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1997 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEÑ
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |