Millonarios vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
SFE
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
ENV
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 1
JAG
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALI
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 1
PAT
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 2
PAT
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
CAL
22%
25%
54%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
NAC
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |