Millonarios vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
ONC
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
2 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 2
JUN
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
50%
26%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
ONC
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ONC
2 - 0
PAT
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |