Millonarios vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
MIL
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
6 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AME
0 - 2
MIL
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
ONC
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAS
2 - 1
ONC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ONC
2 - 0
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |