Millonarios vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
3 - 0
MWA
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
4 - 1
MIL
97%
2%
1%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1988 |
MWA
2 - 1
MIL
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1988 |
MIL
2 - 3
AME
42%
25%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
1 - 0
MWA
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
4 - 1
MIL
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1988 |
MWA
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1988 |
CRZ
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |