Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MIL
0 - 3
HUI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
ONC
4 - 0
MIL
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
MIL
0 - 3
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
MIL
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BUC
1 - 2
MIL
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
PER
0 - 0
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
PAS
1 - 1
JUN
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
JUN
4 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
PAS
0 - 1
JUN
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |