Millonarios vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EQU
2 - 1
MIL
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
MIL
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 3
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CUC
1 - 1
MIL
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
AGU
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
ENV
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
AGU
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
AGU
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |