Millonarios vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1976 |
UGA
1 - 1
MIL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1976 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
4 - 0
UGA
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
ATL
1 - 2
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
QUI
1 - 2
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
IND
1 - 2
ALB
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1979 |
IND
1 - 3
FER
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
IND
2 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |