Millonarios vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 1
TFC
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ENV
0 - 0
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 2
MIL
15%
21%
64%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
IND
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
ENV
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
JUN
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |