Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 5-3
Millonarios vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.8%
+5
3.8%
4-0
9.3%
+4
9.3%
3-0
18.3%
+3
18.3%
2-0
27.1%
+2
27.1%
1-0
26.7%
+1
26.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
0
13.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
ONC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |