Millonarios vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 2
MIL
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 0
BUC
57%
25%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
ENV
0 - 1
MIL
28%
28%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
AME
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
LLA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 3
BAR
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |