Millonarios vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
MIL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
AGU
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
EME
1 - 0
MIL
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 0
VOL
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
FLU
11%
23%
67%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 0
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |