Millonarios vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
HUI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
MIL
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
TFC
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAS
5 - 1
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
PAS
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 0
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |