Millonarios vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 2
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
MIL
4 - 1
LLA
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
MIL
13%
22%
64%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 3
EQU
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 1
CAL
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
EQU
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
EQU
34%
30%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |