Millonarios vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
SFE
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
5 - 0
QUI
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
EQU
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EQU
5 - 0
IND
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ONC
0 - 1
EQU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
CUC
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EQU
2 - 0
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |