Millonarios vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
ONC
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
2 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 3
MIL
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ENV
0 - 1
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
ENV
0 - 3
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
3 - 3
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
2 - 1
IND
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |