Millonarios vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 1
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 1
EME
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |