Millonarios vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1962 |
EME
4 - 2
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
OLI
5 - 1
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
MIL
0 - 0
OLI
62%
19%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
EME
7 - 2
UCO
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
UCO
3 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1962 |
EME
4 - 2
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |