Millonarios vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
MIL
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 0
PAS
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 1
BUC
61%
25%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ONC
0 - 1
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 1
CFC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
LAR
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
TRU
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 1
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +4 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 2
LAR
17%
28%
55%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -2 |