Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-3
Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JUN
1 - 1
MIL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
PAT
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ENV
1 - 2
MIL
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
AGU
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
IND
2 - 3
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 2
SFE
45%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 1
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PAS
1 - 1
CAL
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |