Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1976 |
UGA
1 - 1
MIL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1976 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
4 - 0
UGA
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
1 - 0
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1978 |
BOC
4 - 0
CAL
71%
17%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
0 - 4
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ALI
1 - 4
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |