Millonarios vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
5 - 1
GUA
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
0 - 0
MIL
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
2 - 0
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
AME
0 - 0
MIL
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
0 - 0
MIL
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
0 - 0
CCP
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |