Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 4-0
Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
MIL
31%
29%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
JUN
18%
28%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 0
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAL
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 2
CHI
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |