Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIL
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 3
MIL
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |