Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-1
Millonarios vs Bolognesi Tacna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2007 |
IND
2 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HUI
2 - 0
MIL
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CUC
3 - 1
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
BOL
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
SAM
3 - 2
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
4 - 1
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |