Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-3
Millonarios vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
4 - 1
EME
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 1
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
DAN
1 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 1
DAN
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |