Millonarios vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIL
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 1
EQU
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 1
MIL
8%
19%
74%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 0
PER
21%
26%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
EQU
1 - 1
BOG
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RSC
1 - 0
BOG
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |