Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
0 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 5
MIL
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
PER
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
JUN
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
5 - 0
SFE
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |