Copa Colombia Final
Global 2-3
Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
MIL
23%
27%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
MIL
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
CUC
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
NAC
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |