Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 2
SFE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CUC
0 - 1
MIL
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 2
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
HUI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
CEN
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 2
AGU
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 1
NAC
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |