Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
6 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
3 - 0
MWA
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
NAC
4 - 1
MIL
97%
2%
1%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1988 |
MWA
2 - 1
MIL
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |