Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIL
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
POR
2 - 0
MIL
41%
22%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 3
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
IND
2 - 0
MIL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
SLO
2 - 0
MIL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAC
24%
21%
55%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 3
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1972 |
CEN
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |