Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 2
IND
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
COL
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 1
PAS
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 3
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
CAL
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAS
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |