Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ONC
0 - 0
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 2
SFE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CUC
0 - 1
MIL
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 0
HUI
35%
28%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PAS
3 - 1
TOL
32%
30%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 1
PAS
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
PAS
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
24%
29%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |