Milford vs Upington City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+208%
+427%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
16º
13º
44
2º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 0
MIL
70%
20%
10%
|
18 | 65 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 6
SFC
5%
12%
83%
|
18 | 73 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JDR
1 - 0
MIL
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 3
HLF
19%
25%
56%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
MIL
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 73 | 55 | +1 |
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
UCF
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 65 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UCF
1 - 1
MIL
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JDR
2 - 3
UCF
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 1
UCF
71%
19%
10%
|
19 | 63 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
UCF
1 - 1
HLF
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |