Mileu Guarda vs Fornos de Algodres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mileu Guarda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
MGU
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MGU
2 - 0
PSE
48%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 1
MGU
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MGU
0 - 0
FCO
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MGU
2 - 2
NAV
28%
23%
50%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 3
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
FCO
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
FAL
8%
15%
76%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
5 - 1
NAV
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PSE
1 - 5
FAL
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |